A Bayesian Approach to Detect Quantitative Trait Loci using Markov Chain Monte Carlo

by

Jaya M. Satagopan, Brian S. Yandell, Michael A. Newton & Thomas C. Osborn

Genetics 144, 805-816 (1996).

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques are applied to simultaneously identify multiple quantitative trait loci (QTL) and the magnitude of their effects. Using a Bayesian approach a multi-locus model is fit to quantitative trait and molecular marker data, instead of fitting one locus at a time. The phenotypic trait is modeled as a linear function of the additive and dominance effects of the unknown QTL genotypes. Inference summaries for the locations of the QTL and their effects are derived from the corresponding marginal posterior densities obtained by integrating the likelihood, rather than by optimizing the joint likelihood surface. This is done using MCMC by treating the unknown QTL genotypes, and any missing marker genotypes, as augmented data and then by including these unknowns in the Markov chain cycle along with the unknown parameters. Parameter estimates are obtained as means of the corresponding marginal posterior densities. High posterior density regions of the marginal densities are obtained as confidence regions. We examine flowering time data from double haploid progeny of Brassica napus, to illustrate the proposed method.

Click to get MCMC code (gzip of TAR file)

Manuscript no longer available via FTP due to copyright restrictions. TR # 925r, August 1995 (rev. April 1996) [Original title: Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approach to Detect Polygene Loci for Complex Traits]