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(Vietnam War) Bomb Damage Inflicted on North Vietnam through Fighting in South Vietnam (capabilities of North Vietnam: manpower and mobilization potential, armed forces, military training and leadership, infiltration, lines of communication. Military situation in the South: Communist political and military strength and organization, logistical support, morale, losses, and strategy). Special National Intelligence Estimate, SNIE 14.3-67 and TS 186035. Nov. 13, 1967. 29 p., maps and tables. TOP SECRET/CONTROLLED DISSEM/LIMITED DISTRIBUTION. Declassified Dec. 1, 1975. Estimate. CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY. TOP SECRET. Issue Date: Nov 13, 1967. Date Declassified: Dec 01, 1975. Sanitized. Incomplete. 29 page(s).



14
the size of the administrative service units located outside the boundaries of
South Vietnam which support the forces in the DMZ and the western highlands.
In light of these considerations, we estimate that there are now at least 35,000-40,000
administrative service personnel in South Vietnam who are performing
essential administrative support functions. In addition, almost anyone under
VC control can be and is impressed into service to perform specific administrative
or support tasks as local conditions require.

28. Guerrillas. The guerrillas provide an essential element of the VC combat
capability. They are organized into squads and platoons which are not necessarily
restricted to their home village or hamlet. Typical missions for guerrillas
are terrorist and sabotage activities, protection of villages and hamlets, provision
of assistance to VC Main and Local force units as well as NVA, and the creation
of local threats in order to divert allied forces to local security missions.

29. The guerrilla force has been subject to conflicting pressures. On the one
hand, increasing numbers of guerrillas have been drawn upon to provide replacements
for the VC Main and Local forces, because these have suffered heavy
casualties as a result of more intense combat. At the same time, numerous
captured documents as well as VC propaganda indicate a concern to increase
the guerrilla force substantially. There is evidence which suggests that the
leadership set very high force goals for the guerrillas but had, by mid-1966, fallen
far short of its aims.

30. Information from captured documents leads us to believe that we have
previously underestimated the guerrilla strength. Certain Communist documents
which date from early 1966 assert that there were then about 170,000.
180,000 guerrillas. This figure was almost certainly exaggerated. There is evidence
which suggests that the Communists sometimes consider other groups
part of the guerrilla force an therefore carry a larger number of guerrillas on
their rolls. There is also considerable uncertainty over the accuracy of VC reporting
at the lower levels. We believe that guerrilla strength has declined over
the past year or so because of losses, upgrading of some personnel to Main and
Local force units, and recruiting difficulties. We are unable to substantiate the
extent to which the VC have been able to replace guerrilla losses. Considering
all the available evidence and allowing for some uncertainties, we estimate that
the current strength of the guerrilla force is 70,000-90,000.

31. The Political Organization. Presiding over the Communist effort is the
political apparatus. This includes the leadership and administration of the
National Liberation Front (NLF) and the People's Revolutionary Party (the
name under which the North Vietnamese Communist Party operates in South
Vietnam), both of which extend down to the hamlet level. The apparentus not
only acts as a government in VC-controlled areas but also has major responsibilities
for maintaining morale and for mobilizing manpower and other resources
in support of the war effort. Its functions are not primarily military and it is
therefore not included in the military order of battle. Nevertheless, it does
represent a continuing potential for organizing and motivating the military
forces Through this apparentus the Communists seek to control the people of

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TS 186035
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(Vietnam War) Bomb Damage Inflicted on North Vietnam through Fighting in South Vietnam (capabilities of North Vietnam: manpower and mobilization potential, armed forces, military training and leadership, infiltration, lines of communication. Military situation in the South: Communist political and military strength and organization, logistical support, morale, losses, and strategy). Special National Intelligence Estimate, SNIE 14.3-67 and TS 186035. Nov. 13, 1967. 29 p., maps and tables. TOP SECRET/CONTROLLED DISSEM/LIMITED DISTRIBUTION. Declassified Dec. 1, 1975. Estimate. CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY. TOP SECRET. Issue Date: Nov 13, 1967. Date Declassified: Dec 01, 1975. Sanitized. Incomplete. 29 page(s). Reproduced in Declassified Documents Reference System. Farmington Hills, Mich.: Gale, 2008.


Document Number: CK3100359396



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