Declassified Documents Reference System -- Advanced Search Display

University of Wisconsin - Madison

_______ Document 122 of 861 _______

(Vietnam War) Bomb Damage Inflicted on North Vietnam through Fighting in South Vietnam (capabilities of North Vietnam: manpower and mobilization potential, armed forces, military training and leadership, infiltration, lines of communication. Military situation in the South: Communist political and military strength and organization, logistical support, morale, losses, and strategy). Special National Intelligence Estimate, SNIE 14.3-67 and TS 186035. Nov. 13, 1967. 29 p., maps and tables. TOP SECRET/CONTROLLED DISSEM/LIMITED DISTRIBUTION. Declassified Dec. 1, 1975. Estimate. CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY. TOP SECRET. Issue Date: Nov 13, 1967. Date Declassified: Dec 01, 1975. Sanitized. Incomplete. 29 page(s).

3
overall strength and effectiveness of the military forces and the political
infrastructure will continue to decline.

E. The Communist leadership is already having problems in maintaining
morale and quality. These problems have not yet impaired
overall military effectiveness, but they are likely to become more
difficult.

F. Difficulties in internal distribution will continue to cause local
shortages and interfere with Communist operations from time to time.
But we believe that the Communists will be able to continue to meet
at least their essential supply requirement for the level of forces and
activities in South Vietnam described in this estimate.

G. Communist strategy is to sustain a protracted war of attrition
and to persuade the US that it must pull out or settle on Hanof's
terms. Our judgment is that the Communists still retain adequate
capabilities to support this strategy for at least another year. Whether
or not Hanoi does in fact persist with this strategy depends not only
on its capabilities to do so, but on a number of political and international
considerations not treated in this estimate.

TOP SECRET
7
TOP SECRET
TS 186035

DISCLAIMER: Best copy possible from original. Illegible text has been omitted. Page numbers correlate to pages displayed, not original pagination.