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University of Wisconsin - Madison

_______ Document 74 of 861 _______

Special National Intelligence Estimate (SNIE) no. 13-10-68 entitled: "Communist China's ICBM [Anti-Intercontinental Ballistic Missile] and Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missile [SLBM] Programs." This document assesses the nature and size of China's weapons"Communist China's ICBM and Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missile Programs". Report. Central Intelligence Agency. TOP SECRET. Issue Date: Sep 19, 1968. Date Declassified: Aug 25, 2004. Complete. 11 page(s).

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a maximum of three or four boats could be constructed by 1975 and
 be equipped with missiles with a range of 350 miles or so. But
 the G-class submarine probably would be able to fire only when on
 the surface, and the Chinese would have major problems operating
 far from their bases. Hence we believe that the Chinese will not
 look to diesel-powered missile submarines as a means of threatening
 US territory. We estimate that the Chinese will not be able to
 develop a nuclear-powered submarine before the late 1970's at the
 earliest.

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3.3(b)(1),
 6.2(c)
 COPY LBJ LIBRARY

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