T-O-P S-E-C-R-E-T

THE ESTIMATE

1. THE INTERCONTINENTAL BALLISTIC MISSILE PROGRAM

1. In early 1967 it appeared that the Chinese had virtually
 completed the necessary facilities at the Shuang-cheng-tzu Missile
 Test Range to begin an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM)
 test program. Within a few months, however, they began major new
 construction at this facility. Recent photography confirms that
 the original launch pad (designated pad B-1) is being extensively
 modified and what appears to be an umbilical tower has been added.
 Another launch pad of a different design (designated pad B-2) is
 under construction. The new pad, however, probably will be served
 by the gantry erected for pad B-1. A control bunker to serve the
 new pad has been built. Numerous other installations, including
 provision for additional fuel and water storage for the entire
 complex, are also under construction.

2. We can only speculate at this point as to the reasons for
 these developments. One possibility is that management failures,
 owing partly to political turmoil, resulted in lack of coordination

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T-O-P S-E-C-R-E-T

3.3(b)(1)
 6.2(c)
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