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between missile designers and those in charge of range facility
 construction. Or the correction of design errors in the missile
 system could have forced alternations. It is also possible that
 all of these changes, especially the construction of a new pad at
 the test range, reflect major changes in missile design.

3. One thing is increasingly clear from this experience and
 from our general observations of Chinese military programs; the
 Chinese are consuming more time in the development and production
 of modern weapons than previously seemed likely on the basis of
 their apparent progress several years ago. Some of this delay is
 almost certainly due to the disruptions and confusions of the
 Cultural Revolution. There is ample evidence not only of production
 and transportation delays throughout the economy but also of political
 disorders within key organizations involved in directing and
 operating the advanced weapons programs.

4. More basic and of continuing significance beyond the
 present period of turmoil is China's lack of a broadly based
 scientific-industrial establishment. It is one thing to put
 together teams of select scientific personnel for research and
 development; it is quite another to manage the complex processes

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3.3(b)(1)
 6.2(c)
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