Ta`u

[huy.duong@ctsu.ox.ac.uk]

Cha`o anh Lam,

<<<Ca'c nha` pha^n ti'ch tho+`i su+. My~ cho ra(`ng nu+o+'c Ta`u ddang chia 
ra la`m ba pha^`n: Pha^`n do.c bo+` bie^?n co' ca'c vu`ng kinh te^' 
pho^`n thi.nh, thi. tru+o+`ng tu+. do, ddo+`i so^'ng cao, pha^`n thu+' 
hai la` lu.c ddi.a ddo+`i so^'ng no^ng da^n tha^'p ho+n nhu+ng ta.m go.i 
la` 
ye^n o^?n.  Vu`ng thu+' ba la` ca'c no+i ga^`n bie^n gio+'i  go^`m ca'c 
gio^'ng da^n thie^?u so^' , vu`ng ngu+o+`i theo dda.o Moslem, vu`ng 
Tibet.  
DDa^y la` nhu+~ng vu`ng co' tie^`m na(ng xa'o tro^.n trong tu+o+ng lai.>>>

Nhu+~ng vu`ng Xinjiang, Quinghai, Tibet, Inner Mogolia co' khuynh hu+o+'ng
-do`i -do^.p la^.p hay autonomy (kha'c sa<'c to^.c, va<n hoa', to^n gia'o, chi? 
bi. chie^'m tu+` -do+`i Thanh hay sau) nhu+ng cha<'c kho^ng -du? nha^n lu+.c,
va` bi. ke^`m ke.p ne^n cha<'c kho^ng -du? su+'c ma.nh kinh te^'. Nhu+~ng vu`ng 
na`y la.i co' nhie^`u qua<.ng mo?, co' the^? co' nhie^`u da^`u ho+n ca? Trung
-Do^ng, va` la` strategic buffer cho Ta`u ne^n Ta`u kho^ng nha? ra de^~ da`ng.
Va` ne^'u kinh te^' thua^.n lo+.i va` co' -du? tho+`i gian thi` da^n Ta`u se~ 
outnumber nhu+~ng da^n to^.c na`y tre^n chi'nh -da^'t cua? ho.
Nhu+ng ai bie^'t -du+o+.c la` da^n Afgan va` Chechen tha<'ng no^?i Nga.
Vo+'i ye^?m tro+. cua? kho^'i Ho^`i Gia'o, pha' hoa.i va` khu?ng bo^'
cua? da^n o+? -da^y co' the^? la`m ngu+o+`i Ta`u -die^n -da^`u.  

Da^n o+? nhu+~ng vu`ng giu+~a pha^`n lo+'n la` Sinitic, co' chung mo^.t
chu+~ vie^'t va` li.ch su+? vo+'i nhu+~ng vu`ng ven bie^?n, cha<'c
kho^ng muo^'n -do`i -do^.c la^.p. Va? la.i, vu`ng na`y pha?i nu+o+ng tu+.a
va`o vu`ng ven bie^?n vi` nghe`o ho+n va` ca^`n trade routes ne^n cha<'c
muo^'n giu~ quan he^. to^'t vo+'i vu`ng ven bie^?n.

Vu`ng ven bie^?n co' the^? kho^ng thi'ch pha?i -do'ng thue^' -de^?
nuo^i vu`ng giu+~a, nhu+ng co' the^? da^n Ta`u ye^u nu+o+'c va` tha` chi.u
va^.y co`n  ho+n ca<'t nu+o+'c ho. ra. The^m va`o -do', vu`ng ven bie^?n
over populated va` ra^'t vulnerable to ta^'n co^ng tu+` bie^?n, eg Western
colonials, Japan, tha^.m chi' la` Taiwan, ne^n vu`ng ven bie^?n se~ luo^n
ca?m tha^'y ca^`n vu`ng giu+~a -de^? la`m ha^.u phu+o+ng.

Co' the^? ye^n o^?n, capitalism, da^n chu?, kho^ng co' gi` -de doa. tu+`
be^n ngoa`i se~ la`m da^n ven bie^?n coi tro.ng tie^`n ho+n vu`ng giu+~a,
nhu+ng trong khi co`n mo^'i -de doa. thi` nhu+~ng nha` ca^`m quye^`n o+?
ven bie^?n se~ kho^ng bo? vu`ng giu+~a.

Huy