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VN business news (Apr 1, 1997)



   Asian Cash Rice Flat-Down; Vietnamese Slides On Poor Demand 
   Vietnam Is Tightening Control on Publication Of Financial Reporting 
   Vietnam Share Rule May Change 
   Vietnam may scale back 1.2 billion dollar oil refinery project 
   Vietnam Moves To Boost Confidence In Banks: Amplifier

                                      
   Tuesday, Apr 01, 1997 ... Back to headlines
   
   [INLINE] Asian Cash Rice Flat-Down; Vietnamese Slides On Poor Demand 
   
   SINGAPORE (Dow Jones)-- Vietnamese rice offers are softer late
   Tuesday, having succumbed to pressure stemming from the increasing
   supply of newly-harvested rice and lackluster demand, while offers
   elsewhere in Asia are largely unchanged, trade sources said.
   
   With almost 40% of the winter-spring crop harvested and no new export
   contracts signed, offers for 5% Vietnamese broken rice have retreated
   to $247-$250/ton, from $250-$260/ton Monday.
   
   Quotes for Vietnamese 25% broken rice are heard at $212-$215/ton, down
   from $225-$230/ton.
   
   'The remaining (contracted) shipment of rice is only the 100,000 tons
   to the Philippines and about 70,000 tons have already been inspected,'
   said a source with a cargo surveyor in Ho Chi Minh city. ' Vietnam can
   export about 300,000 tons of rice per month, but right now it is only
   doing about 150,000 tons a month, so prices can go lower.'
   
   However, Iranian buyers may contract a large amount of Vietanmese rice
   soon, said a trade source in Ho Chi Minh city, adding talk is that
   these buyers have received offers from Vinafood at $310/ton, FOB, for
   5% broken rice. An official at Vinafood wouldn't confirm the offer. It
   is simultaneously rumored that another offer for the same grade rice
   has been made, likely by a middleman, at $280/ton, FOB, to be supplied
   by a provincial exporter.
   
   However, the buyers haven't decided if they will buy at the cheaper
   price, owing to fear that the government may stop the deal, alleged
   the trade source in Ho Chi Minh city.
   
   In India, prices can be 'very fluid,' said a trader there. 'Many
   people will want to get rid of their stocks because of the political
   instability now.'
   
   Quotes for Indian 25% broken rice are still unchanged at $240-$245/ton
   while the Pakistani origin is offered steady at $210-$215/ton.
   
   In Thailand, offers for 25% broken rice offers are heard stable at
   $270/ton, while the 100%B rice is offered steady at $320-$325/ton amid
   talk that some 10%-20% of the new crop has been harvested.
   
   -By Joyce Teo 65-421-4825
                    ___________________________________
                                      
   Tuesday, Apr 01, 1997 ... Back to headlines
   
   [INLINE] Vietnam Is Tightening Control on Publication Of Financial
   Reporting
   
   Hanoi (WSJ) -- Vietnam has imposed a new, vaguely worded state-secrets
   policy requiring journalists to obtain central-bank approval before
   publishing financial information.
   
   Independent reporting will be discouraged and may be subject to
   punishment. The policy, effective last week but not yet widely
   distributed, has the State Bank of Vietnam act as a filter for all
   sensitive financial information.
   
   The central bank has yet to say what information will be guarded as a
   state secret, nor has the government indicated the potential penalties
   for violators.
   
   Vietnam's criminal code provides prison terms of up to 15 years for
   disclosing state secrets. However, it does not define what is secret.
   Government officials did not immediately respond to requests for
   clarification of the policy.
   
   "Banking issues are always very sensitive," said State Bank of Vietnam
   official Nguyen Van Binh. "Inaccurate information can affect the
   activities of the whole banking sector. . . . Sometimes it is the
   right information, but maybe the timing is wrong," he added.
   
   The policy is necessary to protect the reputation of its financial
   industry, Vietnam says. It comes as the country's banking structure
   lurches toward worsening problems, fueled by bad loans and
   mismanagement. Official media have reported that between 5% and 10% of
   outstanding loans in Vietnam may be overdue.
   
   Both domestic and foreign reporters in Vietnam already work under
   strict government-imposed controls.
   
   There is no independent media in Vietnam, where all publications and
   broadcasters fall under state supervision and the close scrutiny of
   the Interior Ministry. Foreign journalists are closely monitored by
   the Interior Ministry and the Foreign Ministry.
   
   In mid-March, government censors barred the publication of the
   state-controlled weekly Vietnam Investment Review when it carried a
   report on banking woes. More than 10,000 copies of the newspaper were
   reprinted to delete the banking story.
                    ___________________________________
                                      
   Tuesday, Apr 01, 1997 ... Back to headlines
   
   [INLINE] Vietnam Share Rule May Change 
   
   Hanoi (WSJ) -- Three state-owned Vietnamese companies are proposing to
   sell shares to foreigners when they are partially privatized, which
   would be a first for the country, a government official said.
   
   Foreigners are currently not allowed to buy shares in equitized
   state-owned companies. Equitization is the Vietnamese government's
   term for the partial privatization of state firms. Foreigners have
   bought shares in a handful of private banks, and one equitized state
   company sold convertible bonds to foreigners in mid-1996.
   
   The three companies are Savimex, a wood-processing company, An Phu
   Shipyard Co. and Ho Chi Minh City Cosmetics Co. & Research Center,
   said Doan Kim Dan, an official at the State Enterprise Reform
   Committee. All three companies are in Ho Chi Minh City.
   
   If the three firms do gain permission to sell shares to foreigners,
   the decision would represent a trial change in policy rather than a
   permanent one, Mr. Dan said.
   
   The companies will need to get approval from local and national
   equitization boards and Prime Minister Vo Van Kiet before they can
   proceed.
   
   There hasn't been a decision on the maximum percentage of shares
   foreigners would be able to buy in the companies, Mr. Dan said, but
   the State Enterprise Reform Committee will ask Prime Minister Kiet to
   permit up to 30%. Foreigners and Vietnamese would be able to buy
   shares at the same price, he said.
   
   Separately, Truong Tuong Chien, general director of the An Phu
   Shipyard, said both the revenue and profit of the shipyard increased
   20% in 1996 from a year earlier, although he declined to provide
   specific figures. He also said his company had recently been visited
   by a representative of Japan's Nomura Securities Co.
   
   Meanwhile, according to a report in The Saigon Times Daily Monday,
   Nomura is advising Savimex on its equitization plan. A Nomura official
   in Hanoi declined to comment on that report.
   
   The Vietnamese government began its equitization program in 1992, but
   progress so far has slow, with only about 10 companies having
   completed the process. Efforts to accelerate the process have been
   made recently.
                    ___________________________________
                                      
   Tuesday, Apr 01, 1997 ... Back to headlines
   
   [INLINE] Vietnam may scale back 1.2 billion dollar oil refinery
   project
   
   Hanoi (AFP) - Vietnam is considering scaling back the country's first
   oil refinery, which is expected to cost 1.2 billion dollars, in a bid
   to make it more attractive to foreign investors, a report said Monday.
   
   Ngo Thuong San, general director of PetroVietnam said the state-owned
   corporation was considering the adjustment of the goals of the Dung
   Quat oil refinery project in the backward central province of Quang
   Ngai to make it more "realistic and profitable" the Saigon Times daily
   reported.
   
   San was quoted as saying PetroVietnam would give foreign partners the
   new feasibility study for the project as soon as it was available.
   
   He also said PetroVietnam had another plan to self finance the project
   which will be used in case all foreign partners withdraw, the daily
   reported.
   
   PetroVietnam declined to comment on the report.
   
   Vietnam in February rejected a feasibility study prepared by a
   consortium including South Korea's LG International, Malaysia's
   Petronas, Conoco of the US and Taiwan's Chinese Petroleum Corp and
   China Investment Development Corp.
   
   Hanoi also said that it would go forward with its own plan to build
   the Dung Quat refinery without the help of foreign partners.
   
   However, at an oil and gas conference held in Ho Chi Minh City last
   month, a scheduled presentation on the controversial project by
   PetroVietnam was pulled from the programme at the last minute.
   
   The failure of the Dung Quat consortium to win approval for their
   feasibility study has struck a mood of scepticism among foreign oil
   and gas companies.
   
   French oil giant Total pulled out in late 1995 on the grounds that
   Dung Quat was too far from oil supplies and the large consumption
   markets to be economically viable.
                    ___________________________________
                                      
   Tuesday, Apr 01, 1997 ... Back to headlines
   
   [INLINE] Vietnam Moves To Boost Confidence In Banks: Amplifier
   
   Hanoi (DJ) -- In its latest effort to shore up confidence in the
   nation's financial system, Vietnam's central bank has released a
   flurry of measures apparently designed to limit future problems and
   muffle information about ones that might already exist.
   
   In short order, the State Bank of Vietnam has issued a new instruction
   against corruption in lending, proposed a tougher set of rules on
   foreign currency borrowing and, most prominently, promulgated new,
   albeit somewhat vague, restrictions on the publication of 'secret'
   information.
   
   The controversial secrecy regulations have the potential to be seen as
   either a benign effort to limit wild rumors or a heavy-handed attempt
   to suppress the revelation of genuine banking problems.
   
   The moves come amid mounting concern with the health of the national
   banking system. Although the State Bank repeatedly has said the level
   of overdue loans in the system is about 5%, there is anecdotal
   evidence of significant problems at a few private banks and widespread
   lending corruption.
   
   The latest measures also come just before the National Assembly,
   Vietnam's legislature, opens its monthlong spring session. At the last
   session, in October, deputies devoted unexpectedly generous time to
   criticizing banking corruption and the State Bank's oversight of
   credit quality.
   
   The central bank's initiatives would seem intended to show it is on
   top of a potentially threatening situation, analysts said.
   
   But it's unclear how much impact the measures will have.
   
   Although Vietnam is a communist state, an idea that summons images of
   total subservience to central authority, government decisions are
   routinely ignored.
   
   In Vietnam, new regulations are 'sounding boards,' said a U.S. lawyer
   with long experience in the nation. 'They're put out, and after a
   while people often don't give a damn. It's culturally recognized as
   such.'
   
   That was the fate of a 1995 edict requiring the use of dong rather
   than dollars and a 1996 decree setting real estate taxes by a formula
   rather than the amount of rent individuals pay.
   
   Of the latest State Bank measures, the secrecy regulations have been
   the most difficult to learn about, making their potential impact the
   hardest to gauge.
   
   No formal distribution of the circular announcing the secrecy rules
   took place. The list of forbidden topics seems to have been classified
   a secret itself, given the lengths reporters have had to go in order
   to get it. And no penalties have yet been drafted for violations of
   the regulation, an official in the economic information department at
   the State Bank said.
   
   Vietnam's criminal code, however, does provide for up to 15 years'
   imprisonment for disclosing state secrets.
   
   The circular requires journalists to 'consult' with the State Bank
   before writing about 'highly professional information' and get
   permission before printing articles that deal with subjects on an
   official list of banking secrets.
   
   That list bars coverage of items that arguably ought to be secret,
   like the physical location of central bank gold reserves, passwords
   used in transporting money and blueprints of government mints.
   
   But the list also forbids reporting on changes in interest and
   exchange rates before they have been officially announced and
   unpublished internal reports of the State Bank inspectorate.
   
   (It was the reporting of such an inspectorate report last August that
   brought to light the fact 13% of loans at the nation's joint-stock
   banks were overdue.)
   
   The government's main intention is to prevent the spread of faulty
   information, said Nguyen Van Binh, director of the governor's office
   at the State Bank. 'Inaccurate information can affect the activities
   of the whole banking sector,' he said in a telephone interview.
   
   To that extent, the regulations 'seem like a sensible step,' said
   David Hutcheson, chief executive for Vietnam at Hongkong & Shanghai
   Banking Corp. (H.HKS) in Ho Chi Minh City.
   
   'You want to avoid something precipitous happening,' Hutcheson said,
   citing a run on the Viet-Hoa Joint-Stock Bank in Ho Chi Minh City that
   occurred recently on incorrect rumors the bank's president had
   committed suicide. In fact, he had died of a heart attack.
   
   But Binh said the State Bank is concerned with more than just accuracy
   in the new secrecy rules.
   
   'Maybe the information is right, but the timing isn't good because it
   will hurt economic development,' Binh said. 'If very sensitive
   information is released, then maybe there will be some reaction in the
   public. We should publish it, but at the right time, the right place.'
   
   The regulations apply to all journalists, domestic and foreign,
   according to the official in the central bank's information
   department.
   
   While foreign bankers say they understand the State Bank's motives for
   wanting to control rumors, they also say the new policy - by
   restricting official information - might boomerang.
   
   'Ideally, what the authorities should be moving toward is having good
   information in the public domain, and then having a clear set of
   guidelines for dealing with the media,' said an official at an
   international organization.
   
   'What we're facing here is a big problem of information,' he added.
   'There's so little that's published, which is why we get all these
   rumors in the first place.'
   
   According to a foreign economist based in Hanoi, greater access to
   information - not less - is likely to ease concerns about the
   condition of the financial system. 'Having sound banking is all about
   confidence, and confidence is helped by transparency.'
   
   All that said, it's uncertain whether a policy of intended secrecy
   could be much more secretive than the current one, in which few
   official channels for the distribution of information exist. Economic
   statistics aren't released in any formal manner, nor are monetary and
   exchange-rate policy changes, to cite a few examples.
   
   The U.S. lawyer said he hasn't been able to obtain a copy of a treaty
   Vietnam signed 15 years ago.
   
   And banks have no ready way of learning what property a potential
   borrower has pledged as collateral to other institutions.
   
   'One way to stop rumors is to be as open as possible,' the U.S. lawyer
   said, 'but I think it'll be a long time before that mindset takes hold
   here.'