Re: When VN becomes a real Tiger?

["Le Hoa" <lehoa@iname.com>]

 Whatever words be used or no matter how effcient we VNse use our 
resourse, the fact is that it will take at least 30 years for us to 
catch up to the world

What worry me the most is by then China still twice our income per 
capita - could be 50 times our GNP, Thailand will be at least 2 times our GNP
Indonesia - 5 times, Malaysia - 2 times

Would we still be able to protect our country integrity in such a
condition, Can we, VN be survived and and independent as we are now



> Date:          Thu, 8 May 1997 08:59:55 -0500 (CDT)
> Reply-to:      vnsa-l@csd.uwm.edu
> From:          Thanh Tung Truong <tung.truong@e-technik.tu-chemnitz.de>
> To:            Multiple recipients of list <vnsa-l@csd.uwm.edu>
> Subject:       Re: When VN becomes a real Tiger?

> > VN is, as people say, a tiger in a bycircle. Is it true or not?
> > First, let read my primitive forecast about VN-se economical growth.
> >
> > -----------------------
> >
> >  GROWING PERCENT 9.0 % PER YEAR.
> >
> >  ACTUAL INCOME 250.00 $ PER PERSON.
> >
> >  QUESTION: How is INCOME per PERSON after 50 years ?
> >
> >
> >  After 50 years : 18589.38.
> >
> > ---------------------------
> >
> >  VN-se INCOME per PERSON IS EQUAL 18589.38 $ AFTER 50 YEARS.
> >
> 
> > So VN need at least 50 years for achieve actual state
> > of many countries. THE DARK SIDE OF THE MOON!
> 
> Dear all:
> 
> Following are my opinions on the GDP and income per capita issues:
> 
> 1. The GDP figure is only an imperfect measurement for the strength and the 
> potential of an economy. 
> Important factors such as enviromental conditions, intellectual potential, 
> social security, buying power or the amount of peoples leisure time remain 
> unreflected in GDP figures.
> 
> 2. Long-term growth cannot be predicted by just a simple mathematical 
> operation. Growth depends on many factors and will cease as soon as 
> available resources are exhausted. There is a chance that the income per 
> capital of people in the top countries might at certain point begin to 
> decline.
> After all, an infinite growth is impossible on our Earth. 
> 
> 3. Income per capita cannot be used to measure peoples' wealth and 
> happiness. In fact, much much much money and resources have been wasting on 
> luxury/nonsense, especially in the first world. 
> The Vietnamese people can live with a modest income per capita if they 
> don't repeat the mistake others have been making.
> 
> One question to experts on the list: 
> Does a revaluation/devaluation of domestic currency have any effect on the 
> GDP figure?
> 
> Cheers,
> Thanh-Tung Truong
>