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Re: When VN becomes a real Tiger?



Hi ba'c Trung,

Tui gio+'i thie^.u qua ca'i "chi? so^' thi.nh vuo+.ng 3 chie^`u" cu?a WB
mo+'i nghi~ ra na(m 95 nhu+ ba'c dde^` nghi. Tie^'c la` tui kho^ng kie^'m
dduo+.c ba?n tie^'ng Anh (co' gio+'i thie^.u tre^n TIME) ne^n kho^ng
bie^'t tie^'ng anh ho. go.i la` gi`.

Dda^y la` mo^.t chi? so^'t ti'nh theo dda^`u nguo+`i, quy ra USD (theo
tho+`i gia# na=B4o tui kho^ng ro~), go^`m 3 chie^`u dde^? ti'nh la`:

- ta`i nguye^n thie^n nhie^n (dda^'t ddai, ha^`m mo?, ru+`ng, nuo+'c,
hi`nh nhu+ ca? ca'c tha('ng ca?nh cu~ng dduo+.c ti'nh)

- co+ so+? va^.t cha^'t (productive capital): ma#y mo'c, nha` xuo+?ng,
infrastructure...)

- tie^`m na(ng con nguo+`i (human capital): ho.c va^'n, dinh duo+~ng,
su+'c kho?e.

Chi? so^' na`y kho^ng ti'nh tre^n mo^.t tho+`i ddie^?m ma` trong mo^.t
tho+`i gian 25 na(m.

The^o ba?ng WB co^ng bo^' thi` nhu+ sau:

Tt    Nuo+'c              pha^`n         pha^`n               pha^`n
                          human cap.   productive cap.   natur. resource
1. Australia 835000$/cap.    21              7                  71
5. Japan     565000          81             18                   2
12. USA      421000          59             16                  25
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Tu+` phi'a duo+'i:
1. Ethiopia    1400          40             21                  25
7. Vietnam     2600          74             15                  11

Ca'i index na`y phu. thuo^.c ra^'t nhie^`u va`o vire^.c ddi.nh gia' ca'c
loa.i ta`i nguye^n (thie^n nhie^n, sa?n xuya^'t, con nguo+`i), nghi~a la`
co`n ra^'t subjective.

Ngoa`i ra 1 so^' nguo+`i cho la` chi? 3 chie^`u thi` chu+a ddu? Bo+?i
"social capital" nhu+ ca^'u tru'c gia ddi`nh, nie^`m tin... cu~ng tham gia
va`o tha`nh ba.i cu?a kinh te^'.=20

Cheers,
La^m

     KHO?E DDE^? XA^Y DU+.NG VA` BA?O VE^. TO^? QUO^'C VA` TO^? CO`

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